Archive for April, 2010

The tightest campaign for decades

There are eight days until polls open here in Leicestershire after the most unpredictable General Election campaign for decades.

Challengers in the county’s marginals don’t look quite so confident of victory, while incumbents in safe seats across the city and beyond are beginning to think the unthinkable: “Could I lose on May 6?” One or two seats which were seen as untouchable at the start of the campaign now look dead-heat marginals.

The polls say Britain has a Labour Party with falling support, a Conservative Party unable to seal the deal with the British public, and an unexpected Liberal Democrat surge which is either the dawn of three party politics, or a bubble waiting to pop.

There’ll be no clarity before next Thursday, but one thing is already guaranteed:

There won’t be a single candidate who can sleep soundly on May 5.

Leaked Lib Dem email: It’s a goldrush!

The party’s message to candidates:

  • We are seen as serious players for the first time

  • Our popularity surge may not last

  • Now is a good time to cash in…

Subject: SUNDAY POLLS.

Dear all,

Remember the following:

  1. The Tories probably have a very narrow lead.
  2. Labour and Lib Dems are too close to separate.
  3. The Lib Dem surge is statistically very significant but may not last. It may be a short term response to the manifesto launch and the leaders debate, similar to post party conference rises that all parties benefit from but disappear quickly.
  4. The Lib Dems are taking support off both parties but more from the Tories than from Labour.
  5. There is evidence that perhaps a majority of voters would like to see a hung parliament.
  6. There must be a chance that Lib Dem support will take off because we are seen to be serious players for the first time and a vehicle for the deep disillusionment with traditional party politics.
  7. NOW IS A VERY GOOD TIME TO APPROACH BUSINESS PEOPLE FOR MONEY. WE NEED TO ACT AS QUICKLY AS POSSIBLE TO CASH IN ON THE HIGH LEVEL OF INTEREST IN NICK AND THE PARTY. Candidates won’t necessarily have the time to do it. They need to appoint someone to do it for them.

++Tory donations outstrip Labour five to one in Leicestershire++

Number crunching donations to Leicestershire’s political parties:

Major donations to Conservatives: £150,000

Major donations to Labour: £30,000

Major donations local Lib Dems: £9,780

Read the full story here.

*Donations over £500 within the past five years to constituency parties in Leicestershire.

Check, check and check again

There’s a saying that was drilled into me by a former news editor: Never assume, it makes an ass of you and me. (Ass-u-me)

But after spending hours compiling an in-depth article on which businesses are bankrolling the county’s political parties, it could have been tempting to cut some corners as darkness fell outside the Mercury.

I’d spotted one wealthy donor who’d given his local party £5,000-a-year for the past three years. His name was the same as a local councillor, from the same party, who lives in the same tiny village. Surely it was the same person?

A quick phonecall proved my assumption would have been dramatically wrong.

“I live in a modest little house and drive a second-hand car. The only donation to the party I’ve made is my yearly subscription of a few quid. I’m no Lord Ashcroft, although I wouldn’t mind his money,” the startled politico said.

Never assume.

Mixing religion and politics

Pity the unlucky Jehovah’s Witnesses who took on a door-knocking campaign in an area of Leicester last weekend, which had been targeted by political campaigners just minutes earlier.

Many exasperated residents sighed as they were encouraged to have a Sunday morning discussion about God, just minutes after having their ears bent about the upcoming General Election by political hopefuls.

“Before you close the door,” one Witness asked, in a bid to turn the conversation topical, “if you had the choice of voting for Jesus at the next election, would he get your vote?”

The householder thought about it for a moment before replying: “It depends whether he’d raise VAT or not.”