Archive for April, 2010

The tightest campaign for decades

There are eight days until polls open here in Leicestershire after the most unpredictable General Election campaign for decades.

Challengers in the county’s marginals don’t look quite so confident of victory, while incumbents in safe seats across the city and beyond are beginning to think the unthinkable: “Could I lose on May 6?” One or two seats which were seen as untouchable at the start of the campaign now look dead-heat marginals.

The polls say Britain has a Labour Party with falling support, a Conservative Party unable to seal the deal with the British public, and an unexpected Liberal Democrat surge which is either the dawn of three party politics, or a bubble waiting to pop.

There’ll be no clarity before next Thursday, but one thing is already guaranteed:

There won’t be a single candidate who can sleep soundly on May 5.

Leaked Lib Dem email: It’s a goldrush!

The party’s message to candidates:

  • We are seen as serious players for the first time

  • Our popularity surge may not last

  • Now is a good time to cash in…

Subject: SUNDAY POLLS.

Dear all,

Remember the following:

  1. The Tories probably have a very narrow lead.
  2. Labour and Lib Dems are too close to separate.
  3. The Lib Dem surge is statistically very significant but may not last. It may be a short term response to the manifesto launch and the leaders debate, similar to post party conference rises that all parties benefit from but disappear quickly.
  4. The Lib Dems are taking support off both parties but more from the Tories than from Labour.
  5. There is evidence that perhaps a majority of voters would like to see a hung parliament.
  6. There must be a chance that Lib Dem support will take off because we are seen to be serious players for the first time and a vehicle for the deep disillusionment with traditional party politics.
  7. NOW IS A VERY GOOD TIME TO APPROACH BUSINESS PEOPLE FOR MONEY. WE NEED TO ACT AS QUICKLY AS POSSIBLE TO CASH IN ON THE HIGH LEVEL OF INTEREST IN NICK AND THE PARTY. Candidates won’t necessarily have the time to do it. They need to appoint someone to do it for them.

++Tory donations outstrip Labour five to one in Leicestershire++

Number crunching donations to Leicestershire’s political parties:

Major donations to Conservatives: £150,000

Major donations to Labour: £30,000

Major donations local Lib Dems: £9,780

Read the full story here.

*Donations over £500 within the past five years to constituency parties in Leicestershire.

Check, check and check again

There’s a saying that was drilled into me by a former news editor: Never assume, it makes an ass of you and me. (Ass-u-me)

But after spending hours compiling an in-depth article on which businesses are bankrolling the county’s political parties, it could have been tempting to cut some corners as darkness fell outside the Mercury.

I’d spotted one wealthy donor who’d given his local party £5,000-a-year for the past three years. His name was the same as a local councillor, from the same party, who lives in the same tiny village. Surely it was the same person?

A quick phonecall proved my assumption would have been dramatically wrong.

“I live in a modest little house and drive a second-hand car. The only donation to the party I’ve made is my yearly subscription of a few quid. I’m no Lord Ashcroft, although I wouldn’t mind his money,” the startled politico said.

Never assume.

Mixing religion and politics

Pity the unlucky Jehovah’s Witnesses who took on a door-knocking campaign in an area of Leicester last weekend, which had been targeted by political campaigners just minutes earlier.

Many exasperated residents sighed as they were encouraged to have a Sunday morning discussion about God, just minutes after having their ears bent about the upcoming General Election by political hopefuls.

“Before you close the door,” one Witness asked, in a bid to turn the conversation topical, “if you had the choice of voting for Jesus at the next election, would he get your vote?”

The householder thought about it for a moment before replying: “It depends whether he’d raise VAT or not.”

The anatomy of a political rally

It always looks effortless on the evening news. David Cameron rolls into town on his battle bus, makes a roaring speech in front of adoring fans, then off he goes.

The first thing us media types knew about the arrival of the Tory big gun was a call first-thing from the party.

That’s because, as leader of the opposition in a General Election race, David Cameron is a big security risk. In contrast, we knew about Ken Clarke’s arrival a week before he arrived at the Mercury.

The location, details and times for these type of visits are always slightly sketchy. It’s like taking a phone call from a character from The Wire.

We saw David at Loughborough train station, but it was another 20 minutes before he arrived in the town centre. It was in this time that the stage was painstakingly set. Helium-filled balloons on strings are passed into the crowd, local Tory councillors take their place, and party activists don their on-message t-shirts.

People might be disconnected from politics these days, but everyone was interested. Even smirking students – aloof from the political process – couldn’t resist sticking around to see who was about to arrive.

The Tories’ East Midlands press officer – a former regional newspaper news editor – greeted me on arrival and set out the very sketchy plan for the afternoon. Schedules for big events like these seemingly always go pear-shaped.

When the bus pulled up I expected cheers, but the crowd waited for the doors to open and David to step out of the bus before going wild.

It provided an eerie silence before he appeared, almost as if they were hedging their bets in case the doors opened and Michael Howard jumped out in a Dracula costume, dooming the campaign.

You don’t get a feel for that kind of awkwardness unless you’re there. Presumably a press officer took note – get them cheering earlier, next time.

Cameron did a pretty rousing speech in front of the supporters and there is a certain genius in the layout (pictured above) which is the norm for all political parties these days.

The branded bus was the backdrop so no mischief-maker could sneak into shot, supporters surrounded him in a thick semi-circle to block out what many would call real members of the public, and the press men on high provided a barrier to any potential egg hurlers. A solitary Green supporter held up a scrawled message on a piece of A4 paper – Vote Green.

After the speech, we were told he’d have a stroll through the town centre. Three reporters – from the BBC and Loughborough Echo, as well as myself – were invited inside the town hall to wait for David to return.

We were placed into the hands of one of their national press officers. I was then shown through to a room, where inexplicably, Cameron was already sat.

Before I had a chance to consider how on earth he made it there before me, I was in at the deep end and quizzing the man who could be the next Prime Minister.

Finally, for all the talk of CCHQ’s obsessive control over image, we weren’t briefed in advance, asked to steer clear or certain subjects, given a time limit or question quota. I’ve had that experience on other occasions with political reporters, although I usually disregard it.

After the interview I headed out of the town hall. Word was spreading fast through the ranks of photographers that Cameron would be heading over to a butcher’s shop opposite for a bit of a photo opportunity. Could come in handy for a pun in the story, I thought. Ballot box, bangers, there’s got to be something in it. But it turned out to be false.

Instead the police cleared the area outside the town hall and he jumped aboard his coach again, off for the rest of a gruelling campaign.

The full interview is in Tuesday’s Mercury